The ordinary punter believes most of what the television professionals tell him. He listens to their commentary and regards it as the Gospel according to… whoever. If you want to make money backing or laying horses then you have to start thinking for yourself. Unless you are willing to do this – don’t gamble at the racetrack, don’t go to a bookmakers office, do not use Betfair – just go home.
Standard thinking is what makes sheep of the majority of the racing public who enjoy a bet on the nags. They read the papers, listen to tipsters, follow television commentary with the avid attention of a starving cat, and never make a penny worth talking about.
To win you must think outside the box. You need to do whatever the other sheep are not doing. When you start to think differently about how you bet, you will begin to think differently about the race as you analyze the form. This is good, because when you begin to think differently about the format of the race, you open yourself up to possibilities that the rest of the betting public can’t and never will be able to see much less take advantage of.
Thinking Outside The Box
Have you ever watched a race in which the favourite seemed to have all the right boxes ticked but the betting just did not add up. He moved out while another horse was apparently being heavily backed. The television commentators mention that this horse is being supported in the market, they begin to talk about its merits and suddenly the price drops again and the race is on for thousands of houston astros cheaters shirt punters nationwide to shove their crisp banknotes across the betting counter before the price drops further or the race is off.
I love those situations as generally I am sitting pretty on the favourite and manage to keep my smugness to myself until I get home. You see, I don’t listen to what all of these experts think. They rarely add anything of value to the vetting process and even when they do it is usually too late to use it. Remember this – television commentators and newspaper tipster are working for a living – they are there to entertain you, to guide you through the days events. They are not there to provide you with winners.
When picking your bets, use your head. If a horse looks like it will win, the chances are that it will. The key factor is whether you believe that it will. Believe in your ability to choose well, to read the form, to read between the lines even when everybody else is screaming the opposite. Some of your best days will come when you back the favourite when everyone else says he can’t win or better still when everyone is piling on the favourite and you are sitting on that quite 10/1 shot. Now that really is beautiful.
Think outside the box and you will find a difference in your bank balance.
write by Alden